Royals Nightly
Thursday, June 03, 2004
Getaway Day
The Royals wrap things up with the Tigers this afternoon, and frankly, you'd really hate to see them lose this game. Re-vamped or not, losing 3 of 4 to the Tigers isn't acceptable.

By the way, in case anyone has forgotten, this is an 18-32 team. What can we expect for the next 112 games?

Scenario One: Pena channels the spirit of last season, and the Royals match last year's .512 winning percentage.

Record for next 112: 57-55
Final Record: 75-87

Scenario Two: Pena channels the spirit of last April, and the Royals win at a .610 rate.

Record for next 112: 68-44
Final Record: 86-76

(I don't know whether to be encouraged by this, or to cry. .610 seems impossible, but really isn't impossible, if you know what I mean. I figured the Royals were so swamped that they'd have to play .700 ball to win 85+ games, which they really don't. Damn this division looks winnable, and yet... so far away)

Scenario Three Pena doesn't really do anything, the team as it currently exists improves on the currrent .360 rate, but then a few key regulars are traded, nothing miraculous happens, although the uglier elements (Berroa, Anderson, May) improve a little, making the Royals a .460 team. Which is roughly in line with where Detroit is now and a little better than Cleveland.

Record for next 112: 52-60
Final Record: 70-92


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